Border conflictHigh
Afghan Taliban mortar fire killed a civilian and wounded five in a border clash.
Country risk assessment ยท Asia
Pakistan political and security risk assessment
Pakistan sits in the Severe band. Border clashes with the Afghan Taliban continue and crossings remain largely closed, cutting bilateral trade by about 95%. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
72of 100
Severe
Band 5 of 5
▼ Down 1 on last week
Asia
Pakistan
What is the political and security risk in Pakistan right now?
Pakistan sits in the Severe band. Border clashes with the Afghan Taliban continue and crossings remain largely closed, cutting bilateral trade by about 95%.
Militant attacks in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan are a standing risk to staff and infrastructure.
What are the main risks of operating in Pakistan?
TerrorismSevere
Pakistan demands Afghan action against TTP and Baloch militants.
TradeHigh
Border crossings remain largely closed and transit routes are effectively halted, VOA reported.
What has changed recently in Pakistan?
Afghan Taliban mortar fire killed one civilian and wounded five in Pakistan.
Afghanistan and Pakistan trade fell sharply with crossings closed.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is unlikely that the main Torkham and Chaman crossings fully reopen within 3 months.
15 to 30%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Avoid routing Central Asia trade through Afghan crossings for now.
Restrict travel in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan.
Karachi and Lahore operations continue with heightened security.
Key facts
GDPUS$407.3 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth3.7%Latest data, 2025
Inflation3.5%Latest data, 2025
Trade27% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Population255.2 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Pakistan threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Pakistan for business?
Pakistan sits in the Severe band. Border clashes with the Afghan Taliban continue and crossings remain largely closed, cutting bilateral trade by about 95%.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Pakistan?
The main risk drivers are border conflict (high); terrorism (severe); trade (high). Afghan Taliban mortar fire killed a civilian and wounded five in a border clash.
What is the outlook for Pakistan?
We assess it is unlikely (15 to 30%) that the main Torkham and Chaman crossings fully reopen within 3 months.
How often is the Pakistan risk assessment updated?
The Pakistan threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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