Country risk assessment ยท Americas

Panama political and security risk assessment

Panama carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 18 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

18of 100
Low

Band 1 of 5

▬ Unchanged on last week

Americas

Panama

What is the political and security risk in Panama right now?

Panama carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 18 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.

Steady at Low, with no standing risk flags.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 4.4% in 2025 with inflation at -0.2%.

What are the main risks of operating in Panama?

Protest and civil unrestGuarded

Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.

Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded

Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.

Staff movement and duty of careGuarded

Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.

Chokepoint exposure

Panama CanalThe canal joining the Atlantic and the PacificRead the explainer →

What has changed recently in Panama?

Panama moved unchanged this week and fell 11 points over the last 12 weeks, from 29 to 18.

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is highly likely that Panama stays in the Low band through the end of December.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Shipping

Trade routes for Panama are exposed to the Panama Canal, so disruption there feeds straight into freight time and cost.

Commodities

Ores and metals make up 33% of goods exports (2025 data), so mining regions and export corridors are the exposure to watch.

Supply chain

Trade equals 84% of GDP (2024 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.

Operations

Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.

Key facts

GDPUS$90.5 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth4.4%Latest data, 2025
Inflation-0.2%Latest data, 2025
Trade84% of GDPLatest data, 2024
Ores and metals33% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Food exports50% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population4.6 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Panama threat score moved?

5152535Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 29Aug 16: 28Aug 23: 27Aug 30: 26Sep 6: 25Sep 13: 24Sep 20: 23Sep 27: 22Oct 4: 24Oct 11: 19Oct 18: 18Oct 25: 1818

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Panama for business?

Panama carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 18 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Panama?

The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (guarded); armed conflict and political violence (guarded); staff movement and duty of care (guarded). Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.

What is the outlook for Panama?

We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that Panama stays in the Low band through the end of December.

Which shipping chokepoints matter for Panama?

Panama is exposed to the Panama Canal. The canal joining the Atlantic and the Pacific.

How often is the Panama risk assessment updated?

The Panama threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

Custom reports

Need a deeper read on Panama?

Zed Three builds custom threat and risk reports around your people, suppliers and routes.

Free weekday briefing

Get Chokepoint free

The five stories that move markets, supply chains and deals, each with the so what worked out. Five minutes, every weekday morning.