Country risk assessment ยท Americas

Paraguay political and security risk assessment

Paraguay carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 16 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

16of 100
Low

Band 1 of 5

▬ Unchanged on last week

Americas

Paraguay

What is the political and security risk in Paraguay right now?

Paraguay carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 16 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

Steady at Low, with no standing risk flags.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 6.6% in 2025 with inflation at 4%.

What are the main risks of operating in Paraguay?

Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded

Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.

Protest and civil unrestGuarded

Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.

What has changed recently in Paraguay?

Paraguay moved unchanged this week and fell 2 points over the last 12 weeks, from 18 to 16.

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is highly likely that Paraguay stays in the Low band through the end of December.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Commodities

Food makes up 69% of goods exports (2025 data), so harvest, port and road disruption matter for buyers.

Supply chain

Trade equals 76% of GDP (2025 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.

Operations

Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.

Key facts

GDPUS$49.3 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth6.6%Latest data, 2025
Inflation4%Latest data, 2025
Trade76% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Fuel exports11% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Food exports69% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population7.0 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Paraguay threat score moved?

5101520253035Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 18Aug 16: 19Aug 23: 19Aug 30: 20Sep 6: 19Sep 13: 19Sep 20: 19Sep 27: 18Oct 4: 18Oct 11: 17Oct 18: 16Oct 25: 1616

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Paraguay for business?

Paraguay carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 16 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Paraguay?

The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (guarded); protest and civil unrest (guarded). Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.

What is the outlook for Paraguay?

We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that Paraguay stays in the Low band through the end of December.

How often is the Paraguay risk assessment updated?

The Paraguay threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

Custom reports

Need a deeper read on Paraguay?

Zed Three builds custom threat and risk reports around your people, suppliers and routes.

Free weekday briefing

Get Chokepoint free

The five stories that move markets, supply chains and deals, each with the so what worked out. Five minutes, every weekday morning.