Protest and civil unrestHigh
Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.
Country risk assessment ยท Asia
Bangladesh political and security risk assessment
Bangladesh carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 45 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), up 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
45of 100
Elevated
Band 3 of 5
▲ Up 1 on last week
Asia
Bangladesh
What is the political and security risk in Bangladesh right now?
Bangladesh carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 45 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), up 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 3.5% in 2025 with inflation at 8.8%.
What are the main risks of operating in Bangladesh?
Armed conflict and political violenceHigh
Frequent armed violence is reported in parts of the country.
Staff movement and duty of careGuarded
Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
What has changed recently in Bangladesh?
Bangladesh moved up 1 this week and rose 4 points over the last 12 weeks, from 41 to 45.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Bangladesh stays in the Elevated band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the Guarded band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Trade equals 28% of GDP (2025 data). Map tier one and tier two suppliers here and hold buffer stock for critical inputs.
Operations continue but need active security planning in affected areas.
Key facts
GDPUS$456.3 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth3.5%Latest data, 2025
Inflation8.8%Latest data, 2025
Trade28% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Population175.7 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Bangladesh threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Bangladesh for business?
Bangladesh carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 45 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), up 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Bangladesh?
The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (high); armed conflict and political violence (high); staff movement and duty of care (guarded). Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.
What is the outlook for Bangladesh?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Bangladesh stays in the Elevated band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the Guarded band.
How often is the Bangladesh risk assessment updated?
The Bangladesh threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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