Protest and civil unrestGuarded
Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.
Country risk assessment ยท Asia
Kazakhstan political and security risk assessment
Kazakhstan carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 7 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
7of 100
Low
Band 1 of 5
▲ Up 1 on last week
Asia
Kazakhstan
What is the political and security risk in Kazakhstan right now?
Kazakhstan carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 7 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
Little changed at Low, with no standing risk flags.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 6.5% in 2025 with inflation at 11.4%.
What are the main risks of operating in Kazakhstan?
What has changed recently in Kazakhstan?
Kazakhstan moved up 1 this week and fell 1 point over the last 12 weeks, from 8 to 7.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is highly likely that Kazakhstan stays in the Low band through the end of December.
80 to 90%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Fuels make up 55% of goods exports (2025 data), so security events can move energy supply and prices.
Trade equals 57% of GDP (2024 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.
Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.
Key facts
GDPUS$306.2 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth6.5%Latest data, 2025
Inflation11.4%Latest data, 2025
Trade57% of GDPLatest data, 2024
Fuel exports55% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Ores and metals16% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population20.8 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Kazakhstan threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Kazakhstan for business?
Kazakhstan carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 7 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Kazakhstan?
The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (guarded). Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.
What is the outlook for Kazakhstan?
We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that Kazakhstan stays in the Low band through the end of December.
How often is the Kazakhstan risk assessment updated?
The Kazakhstan threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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