Country risk assessment ยท Asia

Kyrgyzstan political and security risk assessment

Kyrgyzstan carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 10 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

10of 100
Low

Band 1 of 5

▼ Down 1 on last week

Asia

Kyrgyzstan

What is the political and security risk in Kyrgyzstan right now?

Kyrgyzstan carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 10 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

Little changed at Low, with no standing risk flags.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 11.1% in 2025 with inflation at 8.2%.

What are the main risks of operating in Kyrgyzstan?

Protest and civil unrestGuarded

Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.

What has changed recently in Kyrgyzstan?

Kyrgyzstan moved down 1 this week and fell 1 point over the last 12 weeks, from 11 to 10.

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is highly likely that Kyrgyzstan stays in the Low band through the end of December.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Supply chain

Trade equals 92% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.

Operations

Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.

Key facts

GDPUS$22.6 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth11.1%Latest data, 2025
Inflation8.2%Latest data, 2025
Trade92% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Ores and metals19% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population7.3 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Kyrgyzstan threat score moved?

0510152025Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 11Aug 16: 12Aug 23: 11Aug 30: 10Sep 6: 10Sep 13: 10Sep 20: 11Sep 27: 11Oct 4: 11Oct 11: 11Oct 18: 11Oct 25: 1010

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Kyrgyzstan for business?

Kyrgyzstan carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 10 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Kyrgyzstan?

The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (guarded). Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.

What is the outlook for Kyrgyzstan?

We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that Kyrgyzstan stays in the Low band through the end of December.

How often is the Kyrgyzstan risk assessment updated?

The Kyrgyzstan threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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