Staff movement and duty of careGuarded
Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
Country risk assessment ยท Asia
Nepal political and security risk assessment
Nepal carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 28 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), up 1 on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
28of 100
Guarded
Band 2 of 5
▲ Up 1 on last week
Asia
Nepal
What is the political and security risk in Nepal right now?
Nepal carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 28 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), up 1 on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 4.4% in 2025 with inflation at 2.7%.
What are the main risks of operating in Nepal?
Protest and civil unrestGuarded
Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.
Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded
Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.
What has changed recently in Nepal?
Nepal moved up 1 this week and fell 9 points over the last 12 weeks, from 37 to 28.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Nepal stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 4 points from the Low band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Food makes up 49% of goods exports (2022 data), so harvest, port and road disruption matter for buyers.
Trade equals 43% of GDP (2025 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.
Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.
Key facts
GDPUS$45.5 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth4.4%Latest data, 2025
Inflation2.7%Latest data, 2025
Trade43% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Food exports49% of goods exportsLatest data, 2022
Population29.6 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Nepal threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Nepal for business?
Nepal carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 28 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), up 1 on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Nepal?
The main risk drivers are staff movement and duty of care (guarded); protest and civil unrest (guarded); armed conflict and political violence (guarded). Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
What is the outlook for Nepal?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Nepal stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 4 points from the Low band.
How often is the Nepal risk assessment updated?
The Nepal threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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