Staff movement and duty of careGuarded
Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
Country risk assessment ยท Asia
Timor-Leste political and security risk assessment
Timor-Leste carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 15 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
15of 100
Low
Band 1 of 5
▼ Down 1 on last week
Asia
Timor-Leste
What is the political and security risk in Timor-Leste right now?
Timor-Leste carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 15 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 7% in 2025 with inflation at 0.4%.
What are the main risks of operating in Timor-Leste?
What has changed recently in Timor-Leste?
Timor-Leste moved down 1 this week and fell 1 point over the last 12 weeks, from 16 to 15.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is highly likely that Timor-Leste stays in the Low band through the end of December.
80 to 90%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Fuels make up 67% of goods exports (2023 data), so security events can move energy supply and prices.
Trade equals 95% of GDP (2024 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.
Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.
Key facts
GDPUS$1.9 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth7%Latest data, 2025
Inflation0.4%Latest data, 2025
Trade95% of GDPLatest data, 2024
Fuel exports67% of goods exportsLatest data, 2023
Population1.4 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Timor-Leste threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Timor-Leste for business?
Timor-Leste carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 15 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Timor-Leste?
The main risk drivers are staff movement and duty of care (guarded). Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
What is the outlook for Timor-Leste?
We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that Timor-Leste stays in the Low band through the end of December.
How often is the Timor-Leste risk assessment updated?
The Timor-Leste threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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