Protest and civil unrestGuarded
Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.
Country risk assessment ยท Asia
Turkmenistan political and security risk assessment
Turkmenistan carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 12 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
12of 100
Low
Band 1 of 5
▬ Unchanged on last week
Asia
Turkmenistan
What is the political and security risk in Turkmenistan right now?
Turkmenistan carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 12 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
Steady at Low, with no standing risk flags.
What are the main risks of operating in Turkmenistan?
Staff movement and duty of careGuarded
Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
What has changed recently in Turkmenistan?
Turkmenistan moved unchanged this week and fell 1 point over the last 12 weeks, from 13 to 12.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is highly likely that Turkmenistan stays in the Low band through the end of December.
80 to 90%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Trade equals 28% of GDP (2025 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.
Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.
Key facts
GDPUS$49.8 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth6.3%Latest data, 2025
Trade28% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Population7.6 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Turkmenistan threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Turkmenistan for business?
Turkmenistan carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 12 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Turkmenistan?
The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (guarded); staff movement and duty of care (guarded). Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.
What is the outlook for Turkmenistan?
We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that Turkmenistan stays in the Low band through the end of December.
How often is the Turkmenistan risk assessment updated?
The Turkmenistan threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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