Protest and civil unrestLow
Protest activity is limited.
Country risk assessment ยท Asia
Uzbekistan political and security risk assessment
Uzbekistan carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 6 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
6of 100
Low
Band 1 of 5
▬ Unchanged on last week
Asia
Uzbekistan
What is the political and security risk in Uzbekistan right now?
Uzbekistan carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 6 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
Steady at Low, with no standing risk flags.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 7.7% in 2025 with inflation at 8.8%.
What are the main risks of operating in Uzbekistan?
Armed conflict and political violenceLow
Armed violence is rarely reported.
What has changed recently in Uzbekistan?
Uzbekistan moved unchanged this week and was flat over the last 12 weeks, from 6 to 6.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is highly likely that Uzbekistan stays in the Low band through the end of December.
80 to 90%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Trade equals 57% of GDP (2025 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.
Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.
Key facts
GDPUS$147.0 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth7.7%Latest data, 2025
Inflation8.8%Latest data, 2025
Trade57% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Population37.1 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Uzbekistan threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Uzbekistan for business?
Uzbekistan carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 6 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Uzbekistan?
The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (low); armed conflict and political violence (low). Protest activity is limited.
What is the outlook for Uzbekistan?
We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that Uzbekistan stays in the Low band through the end of December.
How often is the Uzbekistan risk assessment updated?
The Uzbekistan threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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