Country risk assessment ยท Asia

Vietnam political and security risk assessment

Vietnam carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 9 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

9of 100
Low

Band 1 of 5

▼ Down 1 on last week

Asia

Vietnam

What is the political and security risk in Vietnam right now?

Vietnam carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 9 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

Little changed at Low, with no standing risk flags.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 8% in 2025 with inflation at 3.3%.

What are the main risks of operating in Vietnam?

Protest and civil unrestGuarded

Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.

Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded

Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.

What has changed recently in Vietnam?

Vietnam moved down 1 this week and fell 2 points over the last 12 weeks, from 11 to 9.

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is highly likely that Vietnam stays in the Low band through the end of December.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Supply chain

Trade equals 190% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.

Operations

Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.

Key facts

GDPUS$514.7 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth8%Latest data, 2025
Inflation3.3%Latest data, 2025
Trade190% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Population101.6 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Vietnam threat score moved?

0510152025Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 11Aug 16: 12Aug 23: 12Aug 30: 11Sep 6: 10Sep 13: 9Sep 20: 9Sep 27: 9Oct 4: 10Oct 11: 10Oct 18: 10Oct 25: 99

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Vietnam for business?

Vietnam carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 9 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Vietnam?

The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (guarded); armed conflict and political violence (guarded). Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.

What is the outlook for Vietnam?

We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that Vietnam stays in the Low band through the end of December.

How often is the Vietnam risk assessment updated?

The Vietnam threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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